Inflation will be a bigger threat to economies next year than Covid-19, the head of the Philippines central bank has told the BBC.
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Benjamin Diokno also said he believes his country's economy will return to pre-pandemic levels by mid-2022.
"We expect the economy to be back to where it was by the middle of next year, or even earlier," he said.
The Philippines was one of the south east Asian nations worst affected by the coronavirus pandemic.
Mr Diokno said that like many other countries as they emerge from the pandemic, price rises will be a challenge for the Philippines, even as he sees the economy recovering in the months ahead.
"Right now inflation is elevated because of food prices. And that's a resultof recent weather disturbances. Also partly because of the international price of crude oil, which of course has affected the whole world," Mr Diokno said in an exclusive interview with Asia Business Report.
"I think we'll be over this [the pandemic] by the first quarter of next year, given our ramp up in the vaccination programme," he added.
Looking ahead to next year's presidential election, Mr Diokno said that "the most important issue at that time" for the Philippines economy will be inflation and unemployment, in particular amongst the youth.
"I think the impact of the Covid-19 is on our youth because they lost one full year of studies," he said. "The Philippines has a very young population, its median age is 25. So the next government should continue to focus on investment in human capital."
If Mr Diokno's predictions about economic recovery are correct it would mark a major leap forward from the situation the Philippines found itself in during the Covid crisis.